48 Unopposed Republicans

This will be a "quick and dirty" diary since i'm going to school around 10:30am.

I usually post these diaries on DailyKos, but I figure there's another good audience here to give out any tips or rumors

But here's the current list of unopposed Republicans that I have (with the filing deadline in paratheses):

Alabama (4/6): Jo Bonner (CD1), Terry Everett (CD2), Mike Rogers (CD3), Bob Aderholt (CD4), Spencer Bachus (CD6)

Arkansas (4/4): John Boozman (CD3)

California (3/10): Dan Lungren (CD3), Devin Nunes (CD21), Bill Thomas (CD22), Ken Calvert (CD44)

Florida (5/12): Bill Young (CD10), Adam Putnam (CD12)

Georgia (4/28): Nathan Deal (CD9), Charlie Norwood (CD10), Phil Gingrey (CD11)

Iowa (3/17): Tom Latham (CD4)

Louisiana (8/11): Jim McCrery (CD4), Rodney Alexander (CD5), Richard Baker (CD6), Charles Boustany (CD7)

Michigan (5/16): Vern Ehlers (CD3)

Missouri (3/28): Roy Blunt (CD7) and Jo Ann Emerson (CD8)

Mississippi (3/1): Roger Wicker (CD1) and Chip Pickering (CD3)

North Carolina (2/28): Virginia Foxx (CD5) and Howard Coble (CD6)

New Jersey (4/10): Chris Smith (CD4) and Rodney Frelinghuysen (CD11)

New York (7/14): Peter King (CD3) and Vito Fossella (CD13)

Ohio (2/16): John Boehner (CD8)

Oklahoma (6/7): John Sullivan (CD1) and Tom Cole (CD4)

Oregon (3/7): Greg Walden (CD2)

Pennsylvania (3/7): John Peterson (CD5)

South Carolina (3/30): A.G. "Joe" Wilson (CD2) and Bob Inglis (CD4)

Tennessee (4/6): Bill Jenkins (CD1), Jim Duncan (CD2), and Marsha Blackburn (CD7)

Texas (1/2): Michael Conaway (CD11, the only officially unopposed Republican so far)

Utah (3/17): Chris Cannon (CD3)

Virginia (4/19): Randy Forbes (CD4), Bob Goodlatte (CD6), and Eric Cantor (CD7)

Washington (7/28): Cathy McMorris (CD5)

Wisconsin (7/11): Tom Petri (CD6)

I know Benawu has a different list. I also posted who the candidates were in a few districts on my dKos Diary.

So yeah, feel free to exchange rumors, mention people who might be running, or messeges about how red certain districts are.

Anyways, i'll check back later.



Display:


Re: 48 Unopposed Republicans (none / 0)

Well, almost every one of those districts would be totally unwinnable even in an open-seat situation, with the exceptions of AL-03, IA-04, and maybe VA-04.

These incumbents would all be reelected easily anyway.

Not that we shouldn't run challengers. I'm just saying that it doesn't make much of a difference...


My ActBlue page
by Ament Stone of California on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 12:13:44 PM EST

Re: 48 Unopposed Republicans (none / 0)

New York 13, Ament.  It is a city district.  Fossella just got 59% the last time.  We have a huge registration edge there (60,000 voters).  And it is a landslide year where Republicans are self-destructing at the top of the ticket.  It just cries out for a candidate and a good one.  Meanwhile on Blue Jersey I've seen a compelling case for NJ 4 (Chris Smith).

I've got a different list of vacancies.  See below with comments on another post.


by David Kowalski on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 12:47:14 PM EST

Re: 48 Unopposed Republicans (none / 0)

This one is a real shame because as you indicated we have a huge registration edge here.Two years ago Fossella was opposed by Frank Barbaro an ultra-leftist candidate running in a conservative leaning district and still managed to get over 40%.There is no question that a mainstream Democrat can give Fossella a real run.

The best candidate would have been State Senator Diane Savino. She represents both the Brooklyn and Staten Island portions of the district and has strong labor ties. But she was first elected 2 years ago, is up for re-election this year and it would have been a lot to ask for her to give up a safe seat to run in what would be a very difficult race.

What's really too bad is that there are two City Councilmen, Michael McMahon and Vincent Gentile, who would both be attractive candidates, yet this week both decided against running. See

http://www.silive.com/search/index.ssf?/ base/news/1138804283230280.xml&coll= 1

Neither one was up for re-election this year, having both been re-elected in 2005, so they could have easily ran and still would have had a seat to return to had they fallen short. Now it appears that the candidate will be attorney Stephen Harrison. While Harrison is bright and hard working, and would make a fine congressman, he has never been elected to office,and has virtually zero name recognition especially in Staten Island.There seems to be almost no scenario for him to beat Fossella.

If come next November the Democrats come up a bit short in their bid to take back the House, this is one seat that they will look back and rue a lost opportunity.


by Sy Gold on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 02:54:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Candidates (none / 0)

The good news?  

California 44 looks excellent.  Louis Vandenburg has a real, cuurrent website with real positions, and other things.  He's recognized by Benawu and BarryWelsh/50 state strategy.

Robert Rodriguez is listed on DCCC for California 25.  Doesn't look as solid yet but he is a recent addition.

John Chagnon (sometimes listed as Jack) may be a real entry in Florida 7.  Same with Sam Sheldon in Florida 18.

Chris Hughes is a possible for PA 5.

Dean Henderson may be running for MO 8.  Anybody want to take on Blunt in MO 7?

The bad news is that some candidates have FEC ID numbers and listings but are not seen as legit by Benawu or BarryWelsh.org/50 state strategy.

These would include Dennis Spivack for the Delaware At Large seat, Sam Sheldon (FL-18), Michael Kinard (KS-4), Kyle Johnston (LA-6), John Harris (OK-3) and Paul Politu (PA-9).

BTW, the numbers with the slashes are filing dates.  I wanted to make them into number of congressional districts open and/or Republican seats untill the light bulb clicked.  Duh.


by David Kowalski on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 01:23:39 PM EST

Re: Candidates (none / 0)

When it comes to the new DCCC entries, i'm wary of the ones they just listed when it comes to candidates who ran in 2004.


by RBH on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 01:39:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Candidates (none / 0)

a number of those are legit eg spivack. Just waiting for final final confirmation.

I will update my  diary on kos mydd and our congress over the weekend with some explanation of my methodology and thinking.

:)


by BENAWU on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 11:31:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 48 Unopposed Republicans (none / 0)

It's absurd.

Surely these no-hope contests should be used to blood promising pols with a view to them moving to a more promising district in 08?

And what about elections to the lege? And county elections? Surely, the longer the ticket, the better, if they're all reasonable candidates?

Is cost the issue?

(I have no answers here, just questions!)


by skeptic06 on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 01:25:10 PM EST

NJ 11 (none / 0)

The 2002 Democratic nominee, Vij Pawar, appears to be in the race against Rodney Frelinghuysen.  Pawar and "Friends of Vij Pawar" are listed as coming up with $2,712 in the latest FEC report.

In 2002, Pawar raised $15,000 and spent $19,000 in getting 26% against Frelinghuysen.  There is a large Indian community in Morris County including in Parsippany, the largest town in the county (elected a Democratic mayor to succeed a Dem in 2005).

I'm psyched as this is the "hopeless" district I live in.  Pawar made an effort, the last time.  That was more than could be said for the 2004 nominee who phoned it in.


by David Kowalski on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 03:26:07 PM EST

Re: NJ 11 (none / 0)

Actually, Pawar's account appears to be one of those "ghost accounts" where they file from time to time.

There's no activity on his FEC report to suggest that he's running.


by RBH on Thu Feb 02, 2006 at 06:49:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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